Lisbon Demographic Diagnosis - projections 2021-2041

Completed projects
Written by CoLABOR Collaborative Lab

Period
-

Funding body
Santa Casa da Misericórdia de Lisboa

Summary

CoLABOR developed demographic projections for the municipality of Lisbon and at parish level for the period 2021-2041. The estimation models used were the Cohort Component Method and the Hamilton-Perry model. Three scenarios were designed for each of the methods - a central scenario (reproducing recent trends), a pessimistic scenario (lower fertility rates and a lower migration balance) and an optimistic scenario (more generous fertility rates and a higher migration balance). A combination of the two estimation models was also used to make the projections more robust at county and infra-county level.

Partner institutions:
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COLLABOR Team
BárbaraFerreira (coordinator)
SóniaCosta (coordinator)
Luís Manso
Frederico Cantante
Tiago Teixeira
Tânia Almeida
Clara Oliveira

Results
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CoLABOR Collaborative Laboratory
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